Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.216600 0.251515 0.290302 0.336596 0.390370 0.450892 0.524225
2025-05-04 0.163969 0.211076 0.269037 0.345658 0.444416 0.567612 0.733297
2025-05-11 0.133892 0.185013 0.252488 0.348197 0.480749 0.658298 0.914999
2025-05-18 0.111862 0.163732 0.236220 0.345115 0.505030 0.732048 1.080297
2025-05-25 0.093623 0.144007 0.217971 0.334730 0.515105 0.784373 1.219196
2025-06-01 0.084193 0.135401 0.213971 0.343657 0.553352 0.880894 1.434901
2025-06-08 0.074922 0.125468 0.206204 0.344987 0.578913 0.959714 1.631639
2025-06-15 0.068202 0.118577 0.202088 0.351148 0.612270 1.053962 1.864595
2025-06-22 0.060173 0.108316 0.190933 0.343642 0.620918 1.106965 2.032286
2025-06-29 0.054067 0.100569 0.183009 0.340507 0.636330 1.172674 2.229779
2025-07-06 0.049597 0.095174 0.178513 0.342813 0.661521 1.258230 2.473864
2025-07-13 0.047537 0.093996 0.181517 0.359362 0.715236 1.402498 2.848041
2025-07-20 0.044995 0.091665 0.182233 0.371907 0.763405 1.543218 3.236615
2025-07-27 0.042380 0.088879 0.181756 0.382063 0.808181 1.682915 3.642478
2025-08-03 0.039293 0.084719 0.177988 0.384871 0.837876 1.795021 4.004103
2025-08-10 0.035966 0.079633 0.171690 0.381460 0.853698 1.879503 4.315897
2025-08-17 0.032322 0.073408 0.162243 0.369969 0.850208 1.921499 4.536963
2025-08-24 0.030777 0.071677 0.162346 0.379847 0.896085 2.078373 5.044621
2025-08-31 0.028738 0.068561 0.158993 0.381319 0.922541 2.193852 5.468399
2025-09-07 0.027256 0.066574 0.157974 0.388136 0.962455 2.345305 5.999862
2025-09-14 0.024929 0.062276 0.151061 0.379830 0.964348 2.405523 6.309235
2025-09-21 0.023118 0.059040 0.146330 0.376362 0.977908 2.495955 6.708552
2025-09-28 0.021808 0.056912 0.144076 0.378913 1.007205 2.629449 7.239723